Friday, August 2, 2024

Published economic indicators relevant to the U.S. economy, specifically related to the labor market.

Published economic indicators relevant to the U.S. economy, specifically related to the labor market. Let's break down each of these indicators:

1. Average Hourly Earnings m/m

  • Actual: 0.2%
  • Forecast: 0.3%
  • Previous: 0.3%

Average Hourly Earnings m/m measures the change in the price businesses pay for labor, excluding the farming industry, on a month-to-month basis. The actual figure of 0.2% is lower than the forecast of 0.3% and the previous month's 0.3%. This suggests that wage growth has slowed down compared to expectations and the prior month.

2. Non-Farm Employment Change

  • Actual: 114K
  • Forecast: 176K
  • Previous: 179K

Non-Farm Employment Change measures the change in the number of employed people during the previous month, excluding the farming industry. The actual figure of 114K is significantly lower than the forecast of 176K and the previous month's 179K. This indicates a slowdown in job creation, which could be a sign of weakening economic conditions or a temporary setback in the labor market.

3. Unemployment Rate

  • Actual: 4.3%
  • Forecast: 4.1%
  • Previous: 4.1%

Unemployment Rate measures the percentage of the total workforce that is unemployed and actively seeking employment during the previous month. The actual rate of 4.3% is higher than the forecast and the previous month's 4.1%. This increase suggests that more people are unemployed than expected, indicating potential issues in the labor market.

Summary

The economic data indicates that the labor market might be facing some challenges:

  • Wage growth is slower than expected.
  • Job creation is significantly lower than forecasted.
  • The unemployment rate has increased.

These factors combined could suggest a weakening labor market, which might influence monetary policy decisions and investor sentiment.